NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has released the outlook for November, and while above normal temperatures and precipitation are favored to our north, for western Alaska the outlook favors neither above or below normal temperatures or precipitation.
Remember, this does not imply that near normal is expected. Rather, in the experts' estimation, there's nothing evident in the climate system that would tilt the odds to favor either above or below normal.
For reference, November temperatures typically dropped dramatically during the month with the 11 degree decline from the first to the 30th almost as large as the drop in October.
Since 1907, November temperatures in Nome have ranged from as high as 50 degrees in 1928 to 39 below in 1948. With cooling temperatures the average precipitation, that is rain plus the melted amount of snow, is much lower than October but not as low as it is in early spring.
Coastal flooding, of course, remains a possibility until we get significant sea ice to form. Both 2011 and 2013 saw significant coastal flooding in November.
